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Aug. 17th, 2009

In his "Long Crisis" timeline, Jamais Cascio predicts:

2023: China demands U.S. repay debts; U.S. defaults; U.S.-China "Cold Shoulder" period begins
India, Pakistan exchange gunfire
India first to use fully autonomous military robots in warfare


Is that a realistic time frame? According to this piece by Noel Sharkey, we seem to be on target:

The deployment of the first armed battlefield robots in Iraq is the latest step on a dangerous path - we are sleepwalking into a brave new world where robots decide who, where and when to kill. Already, South Korea and Israel are deploying armed robot border guards and China, Singapore and the UK are among those making increasing use of military robots. The biggest player yet is the US: robots are integral to its $230bn future combat systems project, a massive plan to develop unmanned vehicles that can strike from the air, under the sea and on land. Congress has set a goal of having one-third of ground combat vehicles unmanned by 2015. Over 4,000 robots are serving in Iraq at present, others in Afghanistan. And now they are armed.


http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2007/aug/18/comment.military

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